CRAFTY-GB is a spatially-explicit agent-based model of land use change in Great Britain. It is an application of the CRAFTY modelling framework [link to general page] and was developed as a joint project between the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, the University of Edinburgh, and UK Forest Research.

The model operates at 1 km² resolution and includes agricultural, forestry, urban and conservation land uses at a range of intensities. The model simulates the provision of a range of ecosystem services, and is linked to the global LandSyMM model [website link] to account for global effects including trade of food commodities.

CRAFTY-GB simulates land use change between 2020 and 2080 as the result of climatic and socio-economic impacts derived from the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) global scenarios. These have been tailored to the British context through a combination of computational modelling and stakeholder engagement [link1] [link2].

To view results, please click ‘Model Results’.

CRAFTY is an open-access modelling framework and full details can be found here: (https://landchange.earth/CRAFTY/)